The science of temperature overshoots
On behalf of CAN and AirClim, Climate Analytics has analysed the Impacts, Uncertainties and Implications for Near-Term Emissions Reductions if the planet overshoots a 1.5°C global temperature increase.
Climate science uses emission pathways to assess different trajectories towards limiting warming to specific warming levels, most commonly to below 1.5°C or 2°C. In recent years, so-called overshoot pathways have also increased in prominence. In overshoot pathways global mean temperatures temporarily exceed a specific target, such as 1.5°C, before bringing temperatures back down below the target.